getstats: “a society in which our lives and choices are enriched by an understanding of statistics”

The Royal Statistical Society is launching a campaign today called getstats to emphasise how important an understanding of statistics is in our society.  I will be supporting this campaign.  getstats has a website at http://www.getstats.org.uk/

In today’s economic climate, where governments, businesses and households are more conscious than ever of financial constraints, it is more important than ever that we direct spending to the most cost effective areas – interpreting statistics will be key in this.

An example from the news this week is this article from the Financial Times, which argues that the Bank of England’s economic forecasts, produced at great expense, have been practically worthless for many years: Continue reading

Posted in Politics | Tagged , | Leave a comment

The Society of Actuaries election for President-Elect starts on Monday, but with one prominent candidate prevented from standing

On Monday (9 August), Fellows of the US Society of Actuaries (and Associates who achieved that status 5 or more years ago) can start voting in the SOA’s elections. However, and very controversially, the candidates for President-Elect do not include the member who was nominated by an unprecedently high number of Fellows (FSAs), Tom Bakos.  Mr Bakos, a current Vice President of the SOA, was nominated by over 100 FSAs (I’ve seen 108, 109 and 110 variously quoted as the exact number) but has not been allowed to stand by the SOA’ s board who claim that only the candidates selected by the Nominating Committee may appear on the ballot papers.  The Nominating Committee (selected by senior Board Members and consisting mainly of members who only recently left the Board) selected 3 candidates but not including Mr Bakos.   Mr Bakos and his supporters claim that the Board’s decision contravenes the Society’s Bylaws, and claim that the members’ right to nominate (enshrined in the Bylaws) must mean more than the right to make a suggestion to the Nominating Committee, which that Committee is then free to disregard. Continue reading

Posted in Actuarial | Tagged | Leave a comment

Reducing environmental costs in the new UK actuarial profession

I last wrote about this over a year ago (here, since when some progress has been made but not yet on the main issue I was focussing on which was the sending by default of paper copies of The Actuary magazine every month to over 18,000 people).

The new UK actuarial  body, The Institute and Faculty of Actuaries came into being today (1 Aug 2010, congratulations to it!) so it seems an appropriate time to ask its leaders to take a fresh look at environmental issues.  I have contacted what seem to be the relevant organisations and shall report again later this month.

Posted in Actuarial | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Has anyone ever found Microsoft’s ReadyBoost facility for Windows Vista (or Windows 7) of any use? I haven’t

Microsoft's ReadyBoost feature: is it of any practical use?

Microsoft's ReadyBoost feature: is it of any practical use?

The ReadyBoost facility in Windows 7 (also in Windows Vista): is it actually worth using, or a bit of a gimmick?

I’ve been using it on and off with 4GB external USB drives for the last 3 years or so and it seems to make no noticeable difference whatever!

I will be interested to hear from anyone who has found it makes any noticeable difference to their computer’s performance.

Posted in Computing | Tagged | 1 Comment

My review of Microsoft Windows 7 v Vista and Office 2007 v Office 2003

I have been using Microsoft’s Office 2007 for almost three years, and Windows 7 for  almost 7 months now and here is quick overview of my experiences with these products. (I have yet to look at Office 2010 but plan to do so soon).

My review of Office 2007 v Office 2003

Excel 2007 Pivot Table/Chart

Excel 2007 Pivot Table/Chart

Overall, I like Office 2007 and much prefer it to Office 2003.  This is mainly because Excel 2007 has a lot of improvements over Excel 2003, whereas I can’t really say that I’ve found much significant difference between the 2003 and 2007 versions of the other products (Word, Outlook, Access, Powerpoint and Publisher).  (I should add that I don’t use Powerpoint very often, so there may be significant improvements there that I haven’t yet had need to use).

So why do I much prefer Excel 2007 to Excel 2003?  Here are the main reasons:

Posted in Computing | Tagged | 1 Comment

Test of embedding video

Test of embedding video via copying and pasting the “embed” html code from You Tube into the html of a web page:

Posted in Computing | Leave a comment

I now support the 2010 merger proposals, my remaining objection having been removed, plus better member communication facility introduced

After two years of opposition, I am very pleased to now be able to support the 2010 merger proposals (for the Institute of Actuaries and the Faculty of Actuaries to become the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries), because in my view the deal now on the table is much improved and indeed, thanks to significant changes to member communication facilities, makes me feel excited about increased member engagement for the UK actuarial profession. Whatever your views, if you have not yet voted, please do so (NB online voting ends at 1700 this Saturday 22 May for the Faculty, and 1700 on Sunday 23 May for the Institute) on Tuesday evening. I think it is important (whatever the outcome) that we get a high turnout.

I now look forward to the outcome of the vote, which we will know on Tuesday evening 25 May 2010.

I made the following post yesterday on the official merger forum (NB member log in required) in response to a post made by the Institute President, Nigel Masters:

Continue reading

Posted in Actuarial | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Actuarial merger vote 2010: please do not vote before reading FIDELIS response

The official voting papers/email were sent yesterday and we (various FIDELIS members) are analysing the final proposal/governance documents.

The initial analysis is that the governance documents still include a significant transfer of power from members to the new Council, and that David Wilkie/FIDELIS’s Unification plan is simpler and achieves the same benefits whilst avoiding mutilating the Institute’s name and needlessly destroying the Faculty. It also maintains the balance of power between members and Councils.

Please do not vote until after you have had a chance to read our response which will be issued on the FIDELIS website (with link from here) in the next week or so.

Posted in Actuarial | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Using a COM-visible .NET dll across a network from VBA

I’m adding this post because it answers a question (http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview/id/713180.html) I asked on Google Answers in March 2006, and which I found the answer to myself, but was not able to post the answer before Google had frozen Google Answers.  Instead I posted the answer in the MSDN (Microsoft Developer Network) forums.  Since I get quite a few emails asking me what the solution was, putting a link to the answer here should help people find it.

The answer is at

http://forums.microsoft.com/MSDN/ShowPost.aspx?PostID=317267&SiteID=1

Hope this helps – it removed the error 430 “this class does not support automation” which seems to be given (very uninformatively) by VBA if the .net security doesn’t allow the dll to run.

(For ease of reference, and in case – as happens sometimes on the internet – either of the Google Answers or MSDN forum pages get removed, I am posting the question and my answer here in full below:)

Continue reading

Posted in Computing | Tagged , | 2 Comments

(Alternative, simpler plan put forward by David Wilkie and others) Unification : better than Merger

The details of an alternative plan (to Councils’ latest merger proposals) put forward by David Wilkie and others can be seen here (to which you can add comments) or here on the official merger microsite (to which you can’t automatically add comments, although you can of course do so on the [member login required to read or write] official merger forums). (You can also see a statement from another members’ group called “Actuaries for the merger” on the official merger microsite here, but this is not an alternative proposal, merely a support group for Councils’ proposals)

For ease of reference, I also put a copy of the two relevant texts (so far) below

(David Wilkie’s letter in March to The Actuary)

A simpler plan

It is sad that Councils are repeating last year’s merger mistake, proposing too much at once. The only changes since last year’s proposals are the name, and bits of the draft governance document. Institute Council claims that unification requires a new Charter. Faculty Council claims that unification requires the Faculty to be wound up. Neither claim is true.

A much simpler unification plan is for the Institute, by a special Bye-law or otherwise, to take in all Faculty members in their corresponding grades, and arrange for some Scots to be on Council. And then for Faculty Council to relinquish its professional body activities to the Institute, but keep the Faculty in existence as a Scottish actuarial society, which would run Sessional Meetings, and might do more. Subscriptions would need to be adjusted appropriately.

Faculty members that did not like being in the Institute could resign, and should be allowed to stay in the Faculty; they might not be able to get practising certificates, but could still practise as actuaries (as any of us could without being in either body). Faculty members that were content to be only in the Institute could resign from the Faculty.

This is simple, and would need a two thirds majority in an Institute vote, and no formal vote in the Faculty, but to get members’ agreement in principle would be very advisable.

It would not be a takeover of the Faculty, but a return home for the successors of those who left the Institute in 1856.

The Institute could change its Bye-Laws and the Faculty its Rules at leisure. Neither Charter requires any change.

Members should be given the opportunity to say whether they prefer this simpler plan.

To read more and to comment on this plan go to http://adwsplan.wordpress.com.

David Wilkie, FFA, FIA

Continue reading

Posted in Actuarial | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment